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Spire Inc. (SR): Fully Regulated Reset After Nashville Expansion

Published September 21, 202617 min read·TickerFile Research · Spire (SR)
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Spire is finishing a year-long conversion from a hybrid utility-and-midstream holding company into a simpler regulated gas distributor, and the third-quarter print is the first clean look at that shape. Management closed the Piedmont Tennessee purchase for $2.48 billion at the end of March and then sold the marketing desk and the storage fields before mid-year. The remaining debate is whether Nashville rate-base growth and already-effective Missouri and Alabama rates can carry a much heavier debt stack into next year's earnings range. The equity is no longer a story about commodity marketing or storage spreads. It is a story about whether a larger, cleaner rate base earns its cost of capital after the financing wave.

Gas Utility's seasonal loss narrowed to $3.2 million from a prior-year loss that was more than three times larger. New Missouri rates from last October and Alabama Rate Stabilization and Equalization rates from December lifted contribution margin. Corporate costs and acquisition-related charges did the opposite at the holding company. Continuing operations still posted a wider GAAP loss. Adjusted per-share results improved slightly. That split is the quarter's real story for equity holders. The pipes are earning more while the capital structure is earning less.

Nine-month adjusted earnings from continuing operations reached $5.01 per share, and management reaffirmed the current-year band that still excludes Tennessee. Next year's band includes a full year of Nashville. Discontinued operations booked an after-tax sale gain of $254.6 million, which is not a run-rate. The next two prints resolve whether interest expense stays elevated enough to keep that step-up from landing, or whether sale proceeds and rate-base growth restore coverage.