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Banco Santander (SAN): Capital Recycling Meets Shared Operating Leverage

Published September 21, 202619 min read·TickerFile Research · Banco Santander (SAN)
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Banco Santander is turning a completed Polish exit into Anglo-scale banking while a shared operating model finally shows up in the cost line. The first half of 2026 is the first print in which TSB sits inside the group and the Poland gain sits outside the underlying line. Underlying attributable profit reached EUR 7 billion. That figure is the operating bank, not the disposal. The strategic question is whether capital recycled out of Warsaw compounds in London and the United States without giving back the efficiency the common platform just produced.

The tension is mix, not momentum. Statutory attributable profit near EUR 9 billion includes a Poland capital gain near EUR 2 billion and a TSB integration charge. Customer activity still funds almost all revenue. Net interest income rose 7 percent. Fee income rose faster than that spread line. Cost of risk held near one percent even after Argentina provisions and a United Kingdom motor finance overlay booked mostly in the opening quarter. Efficiency improved by three points as costs fell once TSB is stripped out. The market is paying for that leverage as if the credit and integration tails stay quiet.

Second-quarter underlying profit near EUR 4 billion is the cleanest read on the run rate. Common equity tier one stood at 14 percent after TSB, with organic generation still positive in the quarter. Webster remains the unfinished capital event. Does the second half keep the operating engine intact once that close and the remaining buyback program both hit the ratio?