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Riot Platforms (RIOT): Contracted Power Meets Unbuilt Delivery

Published September 20, 202618 min read·TickerFile Research · Riot Platforms (RIOT)
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Riot Platforms is no longer asking the market to take a data-center story on faith. In the space of half a year the company signed two Rockdale leases that together cover two hundred forty-one megawatts of IT load, delivered the first AMD hall on time, and then, after the quarter closed, added a twenty-year lease with an unnamed frontier lab. That second lease is the event that re-rates the equity in the market's mind. The catch is structural: almost none of the contracted rent is in the run-rate yet, and the first large block of the new hall is not scheduled until late next year.

Mining still pays most of the bills even as it loses economic ground. Second-quarter revenue reached $174 million, a mid-teens gain from the year-ago period. Bitcoin mining contributed only $114 million after a drop in coin prices and a higher global hash rate. Data-center revenue of $23 million was mostly one-time fit-out work rather than rent. Recurring lease income was just under $5 million. The company sold thousands of coins in the first half to raise cash, leaving a smaller treasury with more than half pledged as collateral. Fully loaded cost to mine sat above the production value of each coin.

The investment debate is whether a power-rich miner can become a financed, delivered landlord before the treasury and the mining margin run out of slack. Liquidity at mid-year was about $1 billion when cash and marked coins are combined, against a build that management sizes in the low billions. The next tests are concrete: remaining AMD phases, conversion of the Corsicana letter of intent, and a durable takeout of the short-dated Morgan Stanley bridge. If those items slip, the equity is a leveraged mining residual with a marketing brochure attached.