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MakeMyTrip (MMYT): India Travel Mix Shift Meets Convertible Overhang

Published September 19, 202617 min read·TickerFile Research · MakeMyTrip (MMYT)
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MakeMyTrip is India's largest online travel platform, and the opening quarter of the new fiscal year showed why the franchise is no longer a pure air-ticketing story. Geopolitical disruption and elevated airfares compressed international flight departures, yet travelers substituted into domestic hotels, holiday packages, and buses. That substitution is the investment case in miniature: the platform absorbs a shock in one vertical by capturing the redirected trip in another. The market has treated the year as a growth scare layered on a messy recapitalization. The operating print argues that the core booking engine is still compounding underneath the noise.

Constant-currency gross bookings rose at a high-teens pace even as reported revenue grew more slowly because the rupee weakened against the reporting currency. Hotels and packages again produced the largest adjusted-margin pool, and bus ticketing grew fastest. Reported profit collapsed because IFRS accretes a large non-cash interest charge on the zero-coupon convertible notes issued to buy back the Trip.com Class B block. Adjusted operating profit still expanded, and the margin on bookings held near the recent run-rate. The gap between those two profit figures is why a Nasdaq-listed compounder now screens like a strained earner.

Myra, the in-house travel assistant, moved from chat helper to an end-to-end conversational booking surface during the quarter. The India operating subsidiary confidentially filed draft listing papers in July, a step that could fund convertible retirement if the offer is completed. The question for the next several quarters is whether hotel and bus growth keep covering air-supply softness while the India listing path and the mid-decade note put stay aligned.